Results for 'forecasts'
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Q&A with Lisa Goddard on Leadership in Climate Science
Lisa Goddard’s career at the International Research Institute for Climate and Society stretches back to when the institute was based on the West Coast and some of its scientists surfed on their lunch breaks (we won’t name names…). Goddard is internationally recognized for her work in climate science, and has held several leadership positions in […]
A New Definition of Rainy Season Onset Dates In Vietnam Tailored to Agriculture
Researchers at the International Research Institute for Climate and Society have found a significant relationship between the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the start of the rainy seasons in two agriculturally important regions of Vietnam: the Central Highlands, where most of the country’s coffee crop is grown, and the Mekong River Delta, which produces the […]
February Climate Briefing: La Niña to Hold on a Bit Longer
Read our ENSO Essentials & Impacts pages for more about El Niño and La Niña. In mid-February, the tropical Pacific sea-surface temperatures rose slightly but remained below average and within the moderate strength La Niña range. All atmospheric parameters also indicated La Niña conditions. A new set of model runs predicts La Niña conditions are likely to dissipate by April-June […]
February 2021 Quick Look
In mid-February, SSTs in the east-central Pacific are roughly 1.1 degree C below average, and most key atmospheric variables are consistent with continued La Niña conditions. A large majority of the model forecasts predict SSTs to be cooler than the threshold of La Niña SST conditions through the winter, dissipating during spring. The new official CPC/IRI outlook issued earlier this month is similar to these model forecasts, calling for a 82% chance of La Niña for the Feb-Mar-Apr season, and a likely transition in Apr-may-Jun. A La Niña advisory remains in effect.
Q&A: Gloriose Nsengiyumva on Building Farmer-Inclusive Climate Services
Seasonal climate forecasts can help farmers stave off poverty and hunger. Nsengiyumva helps farmers in Africa interpret those forecasts and helps bring them into the design and development process of new climate services.
January Climate Briefing: La Niña Eyes Spring Departure
Read our ENSO Essentials & Impacts pages for more about El Niño and La Niña. In mid-January, the tropical Pacific sea-surface temperatures were well below average and into the moderate strength La Niña range. All atmospheric parameters also indicated La Niña conditions. A new set of model runs predicts La Niña conditions are likely to dissipate by May-June 2021, with […]
January 2021 Quick Look
In mid-January, SSTs in the east-central Pacific are roughly 1.2 degree C below average, and all key atmospheric variables are consistent with La Niña conditions. A large majority of the model forecasts predict SSTs to be cooler than the threshold of La Niña SST conditions through the winter, dissipating during spring. The new official CPC/IRI outlook issued earlier this month is similar to these model forecasts, calling for a 95% chance of La Niña for the Jan-Feb-Mar season. A La Niña advisory is in effect.
December Climate Briefing: La Niña Shows Signs of Receding
Read our ENSO Essentials & Impacts pages for more about El Niño and La Niña. In mid-December, the tropical Pacific sea-surface temperatures were well below average and into the moderate strength La Niña range. All atmospheric parameters also indicated La Niña conditions. A new set of model runs predicts moderate or possibly strong La Niña conditions through 2020, approaching a […]
December 2020 Quick Look
In mid-December, SSTs in the east-central Pacific are roughly 1.2 degree C below average, and all key atmospheric variables are consistent with La Niña conditions. A large majority of the model forecasts predict SSTs to be cooler than the threshold of La Niña SST conditions through the winter, dissipating during spring. The new official CPC/IRI outlook issued earlier this month is similar to these model forecasts, calling for a 95% chance of La Niña for winter. A La Niña advisory is in effect.
November Climate Briefing: La Niña Staying for the Holidays
Read our ENSO Essentials & Impacts pages for more about El Niño and La Niña. In mid-November, the tropical Pacific sea-surface temperatures were well below average and into the moderate strength La Niña range. All atmospheric parameters also indicated La Niña conditions. A new set of model runs predicts moderate or possibly strong La Niña conditions through 2020, approaching a […]