Publications
Publications by Category [Climate] ›
Recommendations for Improved Tropical Cyclone Formation and Position Probabilistic Forecast Products
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Large-scale stability and the Greater Horn of Africa long and short rains
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A Multimodel Real-Time System for Global Probabilistic Subseasonal Forecasts of Precipitation and Temperature
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The ENSO Fingerprint on Bangladesh Summer Monsoon Rainfall
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Multiyear La Niña Events and Multiseason Drought in the Horn of Africa
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Investigation of Irrigation Water Requirement and Evapotranspiration for Water Resource Management in Southern Punjab, Pakistan
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Understanding CMIP6 biases in the representation of the Greater Horn of Africa long and short rains
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Evaluation of Potential Predictability of Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall in ECMWF’s Fifth-Generation Seasonal Forecast System (SEAS5)
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Skill assessment of Saudi-KAU and C3S models in prediction of spring season rainfall over the Arabian Peninsula
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Seasonal prediction of the Caribbean rainfall cycle
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Flexible Forecast Presentation Overcomes Longstanding Obstacles to Using Probabilistic Seasonal Forecasts
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Combining precipitation forecasts and vegetation health to predict fire risk at subseasonal timescale in the Amazon
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Atmospheric circulation types controlling rainfall in the Central American Isthmus
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Advances in the application and utility of subseasonal-to-seasonal predictions
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Advances in the subseasonal prediction of extreme events: Relevant case studies across the globe
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Combining precipitation forecasts and vegetation health to predict fire risk at subseasonal timescale in the Amazon
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Assessment of Drought Conditions Over Different Climate Zones of Kazakhstan Using Standardised Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index
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An adaptive approach to quantify weather-within-climate rainfall characteristics
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A Decade of the North American Multimodel Ensemble (NMME): Research, Application, and Future Directions
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Two-tiered reconstruction of Late Pleistocene to Holocene changes in the freezing level height in the largest glacierized areas of the Colombian Andes
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Enhancing national climate services: How systems thinking can accelerate locally led adaptation
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Climate Change Repercussions on Meteorological Drought Frequency and Intensity in South Wollo, Ethiopia
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Country-Specific Challenges to Improving Effectiveness, Scalability and Sustainability of Agricultural Climate Services in Africa
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Enhancing climate services design and implementation through gender-responsive evaluation
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Modelling farmers’ preference and willingness to pay for improved climate services in Rwanda
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Can We Predict “Climate Migrations”? The 2018 Guatemalan Case
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A Coffee Yield Next-Generation Forecast System for Rain-fed Plantations: the Case of the Samalá Watershed in Guatemala
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Spatio-temporal Change of Glacier Surging and Glacier-dammed Lake Formation in Karakoram Pakistan
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Projected Changes in Climate Extremes Using CMIP6 Simulations Over SREX Regions
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Seasonal predictability of Ethiopian Kiremt rainfall and forecast skill of ECMWF’s SEAS5 model
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Assessment of CMIP6 Performance and Projected Temperature and Precipitation Changes Over South America
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Intense precipitation events during the monsoon season in Bangladesh as captured by satellite-based products
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Characteristic of the Regional Rainy Season Onset over Vietnam: Tailoring to Agricultural Application
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Projected Changes in Temperature and Precipitation Over the United States, Central America, and the Caribbean in CMIP6 GCMs
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Actor roles and networks in agricultural climate services in Ethiopia: a social network analysis
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The Mosquito, the Virus, the Climate: An Unforeseen Réunion in 2018
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AeDES: a next-generation monitoring and forecasting system for environmental suitability of Aedes-borne disease transmission
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Predicting peak summer monsoon precipitation over Pakistan in ECMWF SEAS5 and North American Multimodel Ensemble
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Climate Services Ecosystems in times of COVID-19
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Gender responsive rural climate services: a review of the literature
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Estimating the economic value of climate services for strengthening resilience of smallholder farmers to climate risks in Ethiopia: A choice experiment approach
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Climate services can support African farmers’ context-specific adaptation needs at scale
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Identifying climate information services users and their needs in sub-Saharan Africa: A learning agenda
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Evaluating agricultural weather and climate services in Africa: Evidence, methodology, and a “learning agenda”
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Food and earth systems: Priorities for climate change adaptation and mitigation for small and family farms
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A multi-scale and multi-model gridded framework for forecasting crop production, risk analysis, and climate change impact studies
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NextGen: A Next-Generation System for Calibrating, Ensembling and Verifying Regional Seasonal and Subseasonal Forecasts
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West African convection regimes and their predictability from submonthly forecasts
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Probabilistic Skill of Subseasonal Precipitation Forecasts for the East Africa–West Asia Sector during September–May
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Urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts (SDG 13): Transforming agriculture and food systems
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Predictability of Recurrent Weather Regimes over North America during Winter from Submonthly Reforecasts
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From advocacy to action: Projecting the health impacts of climate change
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Global predictability of temperature extremes
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A Weather-Type-Based Cross-Time-Scale Diagnostic Framework for Coupled Circulation Models
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Improved seasonal prediction skill of rainfall for the Primera season in Central America
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CSRD Technical Exchange: ICPAC and National Climate Maprooms – Existing and New Tools for Drought Monitoring and Forecasting in Eastern Africa
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Defining and Predicting Heat Waves in Bangladesh
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Climate-Agriculture-Modeling and Decision Tool (CAMDT): A software framework for climate risk management in agriculture
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Should seasonal rainfall forecasts be used for flood preparedness?
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Downscaling Probabilistic Seasonal Climate Forecasts for Decision Support in Agriculture: A Comparison of Parametric and Non-parametric Approach
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Could the Recent Zika Epidemic Have Been Predicted?
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Fragmentation increases wind disturbance impacts on forest structure and carbon stocks in a western Amazonian landscape
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Climate services and insurance: scaling climate-smart agriculture
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Heightened fire probability in Indonesia in non-drought conditions: the effect of increasing temperatures
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Agroclimatology in Grasslands
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Climate risk and food security in Mali: a historical perspective on adaptation
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Understanding Pacific Ocean influence on interannual precipitation variability in the Sahel
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Sub-seasonal teleconnections between convection over the Indian Ocean, the East African long rains and tropical Pacific surface temperatures
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El Nino 2015 Conference Report
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Resolving contrasting regional rainfall responses to ENSO over tropical Africa
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A quantitative evaluation of the multiple narratives of the recent Sahelian “re-greening”
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Two summers of São Paulo drought: Origins in the western tropical Pacific
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Cross–Time Scale Interactions and Rainfall Extreme Events in Southeastern South America for the Austral Summer. Part I: Potential Predictors
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Decadal covariability of Atlantic SSTs and western Amazon dry-season hydroclimate in observations and CMIP5 simulations
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IRI Technical Report: Guidance on Verification of Operational Seasonal Climate Forecasts
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Long-lead ENSO Predictability from CMIP5 Decadal Hindcasts
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Subseasonal-to-interannual Variability of Rainfall over New Caledonia (SW Pacific)
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A Climate Generator for Agricultural Planning in Southeastern America
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Climate, Landowner Residency, and Land Cover Predict Local Scale Fire Activity in the Western Amazon
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Global Meteorological Drought Prediction Using the North American Multi-Model Ensemble
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An Empirical Model Relating U.S. Monthly Hail Occurrence to Large-Scale Meteorological Environment
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Moisture budget analysis of SST-driven decadal Sahel precipitation variability in the twentieth century
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The East African Long Rains in Observations and Models
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An International Research and Applications Project (IRAP) Caribbean Workshop Report: Integrating Climate Information and Decision Processes for Regional Climate Resilience
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Analysis of agronomic droughts in two livestock producing regions of Uruguay (in Spanish)
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How the International Research Institute for Climate and Society Has Contributed Towards Seasonal Climate Forecast Modelling and Operations In South Africa
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Bridging Critical Gaps in Climate Services and Applications in Africa
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The International Research Institute for Climate & Society: Why, What and How
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US Investments in International Climate Research and Applications: Reflections on Contributions to Interdisciplinary Climate Science and Services, Development, and Adaptation
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Capacity Development Through the Sharing Of Climate Information With Diverse User Communities
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Climate and Health in Africa
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The Role of Targeted Climate Research at IRI
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IRI Data Library: Enhancing Accessibility of Climate Knowledge
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Investigating El Niño-Southern Oscillation and society relationships
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Climate Information, Outlooks, and Understanding – Where Does the IRI Stand?
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Strengthening Climate Services and Applications in Ethiopia: The International Research Institute for Climate & Society: Shaping the Landscape of Climate Services
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Recognitions and Responsibilities: On the Origins and Consequences of the Uneven Attention to Climate Change around the World
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Spatiotemporal analysis of extreme precipitation events in the Northeast region of Argentina (NEA)
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Dynamical Causes of the 2010-2011 Texas-Northern Mexico Drought
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Leveraging the Climate for Improved Malaria Control in Tanzania
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Land Cover Change Interacts With Drought Severity to Change Fire Regimes in Western Amazonia
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Shaping Global Agendas on Climate Risk Management and Climate Services: An IRI Perspective
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Climate Information for Humanitarian Agencies: Some Basic Principles
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Oceanic influence on the sub-seasonal to interannual timing and frequency of extreme dry spells over the West African Sahel
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Predicting geographic distribution and habitat suitability due to climate change of selected threatened forest tree species in the Philippines
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Use of Climate Information in Malaria Stratification/Early Warning Systems/Impact Assessment for Malaria Interventions
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CMIP5 projected changes in the annual cycle of precipitation in monsoon regions
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Explaining Extreme Events of 2012 From a Climate Perspective
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CMIP5 Projected Changes in the Annual Cycle of Precipitation in Monsoon Regions
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A Climate and Health Partnership to Inform the Prevention and Control of Meningoccocal Meningitis in Sub-Saharan Africa: The MERIT Initiative
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Workshop Report: Improving Resilience to Climate Impacts in Ethiopia Through Improved Availability, Access and Use of Climate Information: Dialogue With Users
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Responsibility in Index Insurance: The Importance of a Solid Science Base for Farmer-Driven Design
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The challenges of index-based insurance for food security in developing countries
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Climate at Different Spatial and Temporal Scales
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Capturing the Spatial Variability of Rainfall in Weather-Based Index Insurance
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Paleoclimate histories improve access and sustainability in index insurance programs
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Recent Multidecadal Strengthening of the Walker Circulation Across the Tropical Pacific
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Scenario development for estimating potential climate change impacts on crop production in the North China Plain
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Prediction of Rice Production in the Philippines using Seasonal Climate Forecasts
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Changes in seasonal descriptors of precipitation in Burkina Faso associated with late 20th century drought and recovery in the Sahel
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Diurnal Cycle in Different Weather Regimes and Rainfall Variability over Borneo Associated with ENSO
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Extracting subseasonal scenarios: An alternative method to analyze seasonal predictability of regional-scale tropical rainfall
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Diagnostics of Western Himalayan River Flow: Warm Season (MAM/JJAS) Inflow into Bhakra Dam in India
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A unifying view of climate change in the Sahel linking intra-seasonal, interannual and longer time scales
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A simple mechanism for the climatological midsummer drought along the Pacific coast of Central America
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Changes in the character of precipitation in Burkina Faso associated with late-20th century drought and recovery in the Sahel
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Climate and environmental information for ecosystem services. (Submitted)
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Latin American Perspectives on Adaptation of Agricultural Systems to Climate Variability and Change
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Latin American Perspectives on Adaptation of Agricultural Systems to Climate Variability and Change
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Twentieth-Century Summer Precipitation in South Eastern South America: Comparison of Gridded and Station Data
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Extraction of information content from stochastic disaggregation and bias corrected downscaled precipitation variables for crop simulation
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A Verification Framework for Interannual-to-Decadal Predictions Experiments
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Assessing the individual contributions of variations in temperature, solar radiation and precipitation to crop yield in the North China Plain, 1961-2003
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Stochastic Decadal Climate Simulations for the Berg and Breede Water Management Areas, Western Cape Province, South Africa
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Skill of real-time seasonal ENSO model predictions during 2002-2011–Is our capability increasing?
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Seasonal Rainfall Prediction Skill over South Africa: One- versus Two-tiered Forecasting Systems
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Downscaling of seasonal rainfall over the Philippines: Dynamical vs. statistical approaches
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Emerging trends in the IGP countries in relation to delivery and exchange of climate information in institutionalized agri-extension systems and through ICT4D.
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Climate Information for Improving Adaptation to Climate Variability and Change
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Climate change, agriculture and food security: a global partnership to link research and action for low-income agricultural producers and consumers
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Consequences of climate change for ecosystems and ecosystem services in the Tropical Andes [In Climate Change and Biodiversity in the Tropical Andes, Herzog, et al, Ed.]
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Interannual Variation of the South Asian Monsoon: Links with ENSO and EQUINOO (In The Global Monsoon System: Research and Forecast, Chang, C.-P., et al, Ed.)
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Rainfall prediction based on the relationship between rainfall and El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
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Interactions between ENSO, Monsoon and Diurnal Cycle in Rainfall Variability over Java, Indonesia
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Early-season warning of soybean rust regional epidemics using El Niño/Southern Oscillation information
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Managing Climatic Risks to Combat Land Degradation and Enhance Food security: Key Information Needs
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Statistical Prediction of ENSO from Subsurface Sea Temperature Using a Nonlinear Dimensionality Reduction
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Potential value of GCM-based seasonal rainfall forecasts for maize management in semi-arid Kenya
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Hindcasts of tropical Atlantic SST gradient and South American precipitation: the influences of the ENSO forcing and the Atlantic preconditioning
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The seasonally-varying influence of ENSO on rainfall and tropical cyclone activity in the Philippines
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Clustering of eastern North Pacific tropical cyclone tracks: ENSO and MJO effects
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Predictive Skill of AGCM Seasonal Climate Forecasts Subject to Different SST Prediction Methodologies
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Shifts in the Statistics of Daily Rainfall in South America Conditional on ENSO Phase
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Predictability of Sri Lankan Rainfall based on ENSO
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Assessing predictability of cotton yields in the southeastern United States based on regional atmospheric circulation and surface temperatures
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Climate Risk Management and Adaptation to Climate Change
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Use of a Genesis Potential Index to Diagnose ENSO Effects on Tropical Cyclone Genesis
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Cluster Analysis of Typhoon Tracks. Part II: Large-Scale Circulation and ENSO
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Improving Applications in Agriculture of ENSO-Based Seasonal Rainfall Forecasts Considering Atlantic Ocean Surface Temperatures
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Predictability of stream flow and rainfall based on ENSO for water resources management in Sri Lanka
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Use of ENSO-based seasonal rainfall forecasting for informed cropping decisions by farmers in the SAT India
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Epochal Changes in ENSO-Streamflow relations in Sri Lanka
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Seasonal Reversal of the ENSO Rainfall Signal in the Philippines
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Impact of global warming on ENSO variability using the coupled giss GCM/ZC model
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Bias correction of daily GCM rainfall for crop simulation studies
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The Strengthening Relationship between ENSO and Northeast Monsoon Rainfall over Sri Lanka and Southern India
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ENSO and the Spatial Extent of Interannual Precipitation Extremes in Tropical Land Areas
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Atlantic SST gradient and the influence of ENSO
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Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Intensity and ENSO
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The preconditioning role of Tropical Atlantic Variability in the development of the ENSO teleconnection: implications for the prediction of Nordeste rainfall
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IRI Technical Report 04-03. Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Intensity and ENSO
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The El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and seasonal flooding – Bangladesh
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A New Intermediate Coupled Model for El Nino Simulation and Prediction
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Sensitivity of Kelani streamflow in Sri Lanka to ENSO
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Seasonal Dependence of ENSO Teleconnections over South America and Relationships with Precipitation in Uruguay
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Using Earth Science Tools to Improve Seasonal Climate Prediction for Agriculture
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Use of ENSO-related climate information in agricultural decision-making in Argentina: a pilot experience.
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Tropical temperature variations caused by ENSO and their influence on the remote tropical climate.
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The ENSO signal in tropical tropospheric temperature
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An Investigation of the Predictability of the 1997/99 Greater Horn of African Climatic Events Associated with ENSO using the NCEP RSM
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La Niña and an evaluation of current ENSO forecast skill
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Probabilistic precipitation anomalies associated with ENSO.
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Seasonality in the Impact of ENSO and the North Atlantic High on Caribbean Rainfall
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ENSO, Pacific decadal variability, and U.S. summertime precipitation, drought, and stream flow
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A Climate Information System Plan: Feasibility for ENSO Early Warning in Latin America and the Caribbean
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Experiences in application of ENSO-related climate information in the agricultural sector of Argentina
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Changes in the Spread of the Variability of the Seasonal Mean Atmospheric States Associated with ENSO
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Predicting ENSO impacts on intraseasonal precipitation in California: The 1997-98 event
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ENSO and interannual rainfall variability in Uganda: Implications for agricultural management
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On the weakening relationship between the Indian Monsoon and ENSO
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Interactions between the Pacific ENSO and tropical Atlantic climate variability.
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ENSO Signals in East African Rainfall Seasons
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Effect of ENSO and the MJO on western north Pacific tropical cyclones.
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Does a Climate Model Reproduce Consistent ENSO Precipitation Signals in Southern South America?
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Evolution of the ENSO Signal over the Indo-Pacific Domain
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On the Role of Meridional Wind Anomalies in a Coupled Model of ENSO
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Mechanisms of Seasonal ENSO Interaction
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Development of Malaria Early Warning System (MEWS) Using Remote Sensing and Geographical Information Systems
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Use of seasonal rainfall in forecasting annual national coconut production in Sri Lanka: an integrated approach
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