| |
Examples of ENSO-Society InteractionsSome Implications of Uncertainty in Seasonal Climate Forecasts: A Cautionary Note from ZimbabweBy Jennifer PhillipsInternational Research Institute for Climate Prediction Palisades, NY, USA ~~~ Back in the early 1990s, when public attention to El Nino was still in its infancy (pardon the pun), Mark Cane, one of the pioneers of ENSO prediction, did a simple analysis of the relationship between Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures (SSTs) and national-level maize production in Zimbabwe. It was already known from Ropelewski and Halpert's work that there was an El Nino 'signal' in southern Africa but the paper published by Cane and his colleagues in the journal Nature in 1994 was a real eye-opener for the broader public that forecasts might help in the management of food security-related issues where climate predictability is high.
|
