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Researchers Show Potential for Subseasonal Forecasts to Predict Dengue Outbreaks

A new study demonstrates for the first time that subseasonal rainfall and temperature forecasts can be used to predict outbreaks of dengue fever by estimating mosquito abundance. Climate models are often applied to future predictions, but one of the most reliable ways to improve and test the capabilities of these models is to look to […]

Developing Colombia’s Next Generation of Seasonal Forecasts

Last year, climate scientists from the International Research Institute for Climate and Society visited Colombia’s national meteorological service (called the Institute of Hydrology, Meteorology and Environmental Studies and known by its Spanish acronym, IDEAM) to discuss their continuing partnership and to start developing a more advanced seasonal forecasting system called ‘the Next Generation of Seasonal […]

Should seasonal rainfall forecasts be used for flood preparedness?

  • Journal: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
  • Vol. 21
  • Published: September 2017
  • Categories: Climate


Coughlan de Perez, Erin
Stephens, Elisabeth
Bischiniotis, Konstantinos
van Aalst, Maarten
van den Hurk, Bart
Mason, Simon
Nissan, Hannah
Pappenberger, Florian

Study Shows Promise for Subseasonal Forecasts of Heavy Rain in South America

Analysis of Paraguay flooding event during 2015-16 El Niño examines influence of climate at multiple timescales The Paraguay River is an essential lifeblood for the landlocked country that shares it name. It provides Paraguayans with fishing, irrigation for agriculture and access to shipping. But it’s also prone to seasonal flooding, with especially high consequences for […]