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Making Forecasts Friendlier

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A telling forecast can influence decisions on budgeting for mosquito nets and spray, investment in drought resistant crops, and allocation of water resources for an up-coming season. But how are people using forecasts to make decisions? How do they interpret the probabilities presented in each forecast? IRI scientists are constantly thinking of these and other issues to increase the usefulness of their forecasts.

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Recent news and publications...

Policy against crop failure set to boost farming in Kenya (Business Daily Africa) view

Early signals favour normal N-E monsoon (The Hindu Business Line)  view


Upcoming events and seminars...

September 17, 2008: IRI Seminar Series on Impact Evaluation for Development Projects: Introduction to Impact Evaluation Practice and Methods, with Dan Levy, JFK School of Government. view

September 17, 2008: Millennium Villages Seminar Series: The Millennium Villages Project - Tropical Agriculture, with Pedro Sanchez, IRI/Earth Institute. view

September 19, 2008: IRI Seminar: Climate, Forecast and Impacts Briefing. Our scientists give a global rundown on forecasted temperature and precipitation for the next few seasons and discuss recent climate-related impacts. view


Special workshop...
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Technical Issues in Index Insurance,
October 7: Numerous technical challenges need to be overcome if index insurance is to contribute to the eradication of poverty at large scales. The IRI is hosting experts from the reinsurance, climate science, economics and food security sectors to identify and discuss these challenges. This workshop also represents an important step in the production of a special issue of Climate and Society focusing on index insurance.
If you would like to learn about index insurance and how it is being used for climate-change adaptation and development, or would like to register to attend please send an email or visit the workshop web page.

Current precipitation forecast

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See all of our forecasts...

For additional resources, please visit our Media Page.