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Active Hurricane Season Predicted

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The IRI's latest forecast for the Atlantic hurricane season, which officially started last week, points to significantly increased hurricane activity this year. In fact, the likelihood of having an above-normal year is more than three times that of having a below-normal year. This could spell trouble for highly vulnerable Caribbean nations such as Haiti - still reeling from the effects of a destructive earthquake in January. Read the full story.


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Featured Report: Introduction to Remote Sensing for Monitoring Rainfall, Temperature,Vegetation and Water Bodies

This recent document provides a brief introduction to remote sensing using satellites in order to monitor rainfall, temperature, vegetation and water bodies. It also provides an overview of the remote-sensing products available in the IRI's free Data Library that can be applied to studying human health, food security and natural disasters. Download it here.



Upcoming events and seminars...

June 10th: IRI Seminar: Decision-Scaling: A Decision Analytic Approach To Using Climate Information, by Casey Brown, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Massachusetts Amherst, and IRI Adjunct Associate Research Scientist. view

June 10th: An Example Of A Tool Development Approach: Weather Index Insurance Educational Tool (WIIET). view

June 15th: IRI Seminar Series: (1) An Ensemble Approach To Estimation Of Uncertainty On Satellite-Based Rainfall Estimates; (2) Application Of Seasonal Rainfall Forecasting And Satellite Rainfall Observations To Crop Yield Forecasting For Africa. view


IRI in the News...

PAGASA warns against La Niña (Manila Bulletin). view

Churn in Arabian Sea makes forecasters sit up
(The Hindu Business Line). view

Les effets du changement climatique sur le paludisme peuvent être contrecarrés par les mesures de prévention (Le Monde). view

Climate Outlook Raises Concerns for Haiti (The Energy Collective). view


Recent scientific publications...

Mechanisms of Climate Change in the Semiarid African Sahel: The Local View. Alessandra Giannini, 2010. Journal of Climate

Verification of the First 11 Years of IRI's Seasonal Climate Forecasts. Barnston, A. G., S. Li, S. J. Mason, D. G. DeWitt, L. Goddard, and X. Gong, 2010. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology.

Current seasonal rainfall forecast...

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See all of our forecasts...

For additional resources, please visit our Media Page.