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The potential impacts of the current El Niño

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The IRI has published two documents designed to walk policy makers through the potential impacts of current El Niño conditions. Readers can use the documents to not only assess how vulnerable different areas of the developing world are to climate-related socioeconomic impacts, but also to see how recent rainfall patterns in these areas have compared to typical El Niño conditions.

We prepared these documents in the context of the El Niño that has developed in the equatorial Pacific, which is likely to continue evolving until early 2010. El Niño conditions occur on average once every 3-5 years, and typically alter climate patterns in many regions of the world, leading to below-normal rainfall in some regions, and above-normal in other areas. Depending on socioeconomic conditions in the affected regions, these out-of-the-ordinary rainfall patterns can often lead to droughts, floods, wildfires, food insecurity and other impacts.

Read + Share the documents.


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Director-General Stephen Zebiak
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Upcoming events and seminars...

Nov. 6th: Columbia Water Center Seminar Series: Complexity and Emergence in Ecohydrologic Process Networks. Speaker is Praveen Kumar, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign view.

Nov. 19th: IRI Seminar: Climate, Forecast and Impacts Briefing. Our monthly meeting during which we unveil the latest global and regional forecasts, as well as discuss climate-related events around the world. view


Recent news, publications and other notables...

Adaptation: Natural disasters displace millions, report says, but climate change's role
remains murky (ClimateWire). view

Egypt, Nigeria and the Philippines to be among the worst hit
by storm surges (earthportal.org). view


Current seasonal precipitation forecast...

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See all of our forecasts...

For additional resources, please visit our Media Page.