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Climate Information Digest
August 2004 Volume 7, Number 8

A global Quick Look at seasonal climate, its impacts and outlooks.

Hot Topics
  • Drought affects agriculture and water resources in Cuba

  • Food insecurity persists in Kenya due to drought; Forecast indicates dry conditions may continue

  • Monsoon rainfall and flooding continues in Bangladesh, Nepal, and eastern India

  • Heavy rainfall and flooding in eastern and southern China
  • El Niño/La Niña Update

    While some indicators have risen to levels consistent with the onset of a weak El Niņo, the probability that an El Niño event will develop in the coming 3-6 months is currently around 40 to 50 percent. See the IRI ENSO QuickLook for summary information and the IRI ENSO Update for details.

    Contents
    Special Summaries for May-Jun-Jul - regions with enhanced sensitivity due to stress from persistent climate patterns.
       Persistent Cold or Heat
       Persistent Wet or Dry

    July Global Climate - summary of recent variations in temperature and precipitation. Note that all maps are linked to the IRI Data Library. For more maps and information see the IRI Maproom.
       Climatological Background
       Temperatures
       Precipitation
       Oceanic Conditions

    Predictions in Context - provide a climate perspective by displaying a combination of observed and predicted precipitation.

    July Climate Impacts - influences of recent climate variations (with links to detailed reports) on:
       Hazards
       Health
       Water Resources/Energy
       Agriculture

    September-October-November Seasonal Forecast - IRI's Net Assessment Forecast for the globe and by region
       Introduction
       Precipitation
       Temperature 
       Methods

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