Predictions in Context (PiC) Map

We provide a climate perspective for regions of the world by displaying a combination of observed and predicted precipitation. Shaded areas on these maps are regions where the observed seasonal precipitation was in the below-normal or above-normal range and forecasts indicate an enhanced likelihood for the next season's precipitation to be below normal or above-normal based on the IRI multi-model ensembles.

Two sets of maps are presented. One set shows areas where the forecasts indicate an enhanced likelihood for observed conditions to continue (labeled "Same") and another set of maps to indicate an enhanced likelihood that conditions will change (labeled "Reversed"). The forecasts are always for the next 3-month period (season). The observations are for either the past 3 month or past 12-month period to provide a shorter-term and longer-term context for the forecasts. These maps are updated every month. Click here for an expanded discussion of these maps.

You may click on the map to get information about observed rainfall and forecast tercile probability for a specific grid point. In some cases, it may take a few seconds for the graphics to be loaded.