The National Multimodel Ensemble

There is ample evidence of the need for a US national multi-model seasonal-to-interannual prediction system. It is in the Nation's interest to have a multi-model seasonal-to-interannual prediction capability independent of information that may be available from outside sources. The advantage of a MME prediction system is that it, in addition to providing additional forecast information for the surface air temperature and precipitation outlooks that are currently products of the Climate Prediction Center (CPC), the MME can also provide information about fields and phenomena that the US has specific interest in predicting: ENSO cycle, monsoons, intraseasonal variability and the Madden-Julian Oscillation. (Ben P. Kirtman and Dughong Min)