Publications, mostly peer-reviewed

• Shiferaw, H., Zenebe, A., Yazew, E., Yisak, B., Girma, A., Araya, M., Zenebe, G. and A. Giannini, 2024. Characterization of flood and drought hazards on the Gereb-Geba water supply dam in the semi-arid northern Ethiopian highlands. Geomatics, Natural Hazards and Risk, 15, 2290846, https://doi.org/10.1080/19475705.2023.2290846 pdf file

• Schwarzwald, K., R. Seager, M. Ting and A. Giannini, 2023. Large-scale stability and the Greater Horn of Africa long and short rains. J. Climate, 36, 7297–7317, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0126.1. pdf file

• Salack, S., S. Sanfo, M. Sidibe, E. K. Daku, I. Camara, M. D. B. Dieng, K. Hien, M. Sadio, B. M. Torou, K. O. Ogunjobi, S. A. K. S. B. Sangare, K. R. Kouame, Y. B. Koffi, S. Liersch, M. Savadogo and A. Giannini, 2022. Low-cost adaptation options to support green growth in agriculture, water resources, and coastal zones. Scientific Reports, 12, 17898, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-22331-9 pdf file

• Giannini, A., 2022. Faire face à l'incertitude climatique: la prévision saisonnière au Sahel, Cahiers de l'incertitude, Philosophie Magazine, 2 September 2022.

• Giannini, A., E.K. Ilboudo Nébié, D. Ba and O. Ndiaye, 2021. Livelihood strategies shape vulnerability of households' food security to climate in Senegal. Frontiers in Climate, 3, 731036, doi:10.3389/fclim.2021.731036 pdf file

• Ilboudo Nébié, E. K., D. Ba and A. Giannini, 2021. Food security and climate shocks in Senegal: Who and where are the most vulnerable households? Global Food Security, 29, 100513, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfs.2021.100513 pdf file

• Giannini, A., 2021. Dérèglement climatique: le message du Sahel, essay in the June 2021 issue of Vu.es d'Ulm, the monthly newsletter of the Ecole Normale Supérieure, 1 June 2021.

• Giannini, A., 2021. Climate change in the Sahel: crisis or opportunity? Dossier on Unraveling the Sahel: State, Politics and Armed Violence, edited by Camillo Casola for the Istituto per gli Studi di Politica Internazionale (ISPI), Milan, Italy, 3 March 2021.

• Herman, R. J., A. Giannini, M. Biasutti and Y. Kushnir, 2020. The effects of anthropogenic and volcanic aerosols and greenhouse gases on 20th century Sahel precipitation. Scientific Reports, 10, 12203, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-68356-w pdf file

• Giannini, A., A. Ali, C. P. Kelley, B. L. Lamptey, B. Minoungou and O. Ndiaye, 2020. Advances in the lead time of prediction of Sahel rainfall with the North American Multi-Model Ensemble. Geophys. Res. Lett., 47, e2020GL087341, https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL087341 pdf file

• Pomposi, C., Y. Kushnir, A. Giannini and M. Biasutti, 2020. Towards understanding the occurrence of both wet and dry Sahel seasons during El Niño: the modulating role of the global ocean. J. Climate, 33, 1193-1207, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0219.1 pdf file

• Giannini, A., 2019. How pollution and greenhouse gases affect the climate in the Sahel. The Conversation, 24 February 2019, and its Spanish translation: Como la contaminación y los gases de efecto invernadero afectan ya al Sahel, The Conversation, 28 February 2019.

• Seth, A., A. Giannini, M. Rojas, S. Bordoni, S. A. Rauscher, D. Singh and S. J. Camargo, 2019. Monsoon responses to climate changes—connecting past, present and future. Current Climate Change Reports, 5, 63-79, https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-019-00125-y

• Vigaud, N. and A. Giannini, 2019. West African convection regimes and their predictability from submonthly forecasts. Climate Dynamics, 52, 7029-7048, doi:10.1007/s00382-018-4563-y pdf file

• Giannini, A. and A. Kaplan, 2019. The role of aerosols and greenhouse gases in Sahel drought and recovery. Climatic Change,152, 449-466, doi:10.1007/s10584-018-2341-9 pdf file

• Giannini, A., B. Lyon, R. Seager and N. Vigaud, 2018. Dynamical and thermodynamic elements of modeled climate change at the East African margin of convection. Geophys. Res. Lett., 45, 992-1000, doi:10.1002/2017GL075486 pdf file

• Garcia-Serrano, J., C. Cassou, H. Douville, A. Giannini and F. J. Doblas-Reyes, 2017. Revisiting the ENSO teleconnection to the tropical North Atlantic. J. Climate, 30, 6945-6957, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-16- 0641.1 pdf file

• Berg, A., B. Lintner, K. Findell and A. Giannini, 2017. Uncertain soil moisture feedbacks in model projections of Sahel precipitation. Geophys. Res. Lett., 44, 6124-6133, doi:10.1002/2017 GL073851 pdf file

• Berg, A., B. Lintner, K. Findell and A. Giannini, 2017. Soil moisture influence on seasonality and large-scale circulation in simulations of the West African Monsoon. J. Climate, 30, 2295-2317, http://dx.doi.org/ 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0877.1 pdf file

• Vigaud, N., B. Lyon and A. Giannini, 2017. Sub-seasonal teleconnections between convection over the Indian Ocean, the East African long rains and tropical Pacific surface temperatures. Int. J. Climatol., 37, 1167-1180, doi:10.1002/joc.4765 pdf file

• Giannini, A., P. K. Krishnamurthy, R. Cousin, N. Labidi and R. J. Choularton, 2017. Climate risk and food security in Mali: a historical perspective on adaptation. Earth's Future, 5, 144-157, doi: 10.1002/2016EF000404 pdf file

• Salack, S., C. Klein, A. Giannini, B. Sarr, O. Worou, N. Belko, J. Bliefernicht, H. Kunstmann, 2016. Global warming induced hybrid rainy seasons in the Sahel. Environ. Res. Lett., 11, 104008, doi:10.1088/1748- 9326/11/10/104008 pdf file

• Pomposi, C., A. Giannini, Y. Kushnir and D. E. Lee, 2016. Understanding Pacific Ocean influence on interannual precipitation variability in the Sahel. Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, 9234-9242, doi:10.1002/2016GL069980 pdf file

• Berg, A., K. Findell, B. Lintner, A. Giannini, S. I. Seneviratne, B. van den Hurk, R. Lorenz, A. Pitman, S. Hagemann, A. Meier, F. Cheruy, A. Ducharne, S. Malyshev and P. C. D. Milly, 2016. Land-atmosphere feedbacks amplify aridity increase over land under global warming. Nature Climate Change, 6, 869-874, doi:10.1038/nclimate3029 pdf file

• Parhi, P., A. Giannini, P. Gentine and U. Lall, 2016. Resolving contrasting regional rainfall re- sponses to ENSO over tropical Africa. J. Climate, 29, 1461-1476, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0071.1 pdf file

• Stith, M.-M., A. Giannini, J. del Corral, S. Adamo and A. de Sherbinin, 2016. A quantitative evaluation of the multiple narratives of the recent Sahelian "re-greening". Weather, Climate and Society, 8, 67-83, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/WCAS-D-15-0012.1 pdf file

• Xie, S.-P., C. Deser, G. A. Vecchi, M. Collins, T. L. Delworth, A. Hall, E. Hawkins, N. C. Johnson, C. Cassou, A. Giannini and M. Watanabe, 2015. Towards predictive understanding of regional climate change. Nature Climate Change, 5, 921-930, doi:10.1038/nclimate2689

• Giannini, A., 2015. News and Views: Climate change comes to the Sahel. Nature Climate Change, 5, 720-721, doi:10.1038/nclimate2739

• Fernandes, K., A. Giannini, L. Verchot, W. Baethgen and M. Pinedo-Vasquez, 2015. Decadal co-variability of Atlantic SSTs and western Amazon dry-season hydroclimate in observations and CMIP5 simulations. Geophys. Res. Lett., 42, 6793-6801, doi:10.1002/2015GL063911 pdf file

• Liepert, B. G. and A. Giannini, 2015. Global warming, the atmospheric brown cloud and the changing Indian monsoon. Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, 0096340215590802

• Pomposi, C., Y. Kushnir and A. Giannini, 2015. Moisture budget analysis of SST-driven decadal Sahel precipitation variability in the twentieth century. . Clim. Dyn., 44, 3303-3321, doi:10.1007/s00382-014-2382-3 pdf file

• Lodoun, T., M. Sanon, A. Giannini, P. S. Traoré, L. Somé and J. M. Rasolodimby, 2014. Seasonal forecasts in the Sahel region: the use of rainfall-based predictive variables. Theor. Appl. Climatol., 117, 485-494, doi:10.1007/s00704-013-1002-1 pdf file

• Lyon, B., A. Giannini, P. Gonzalez and A. W. Robertson, 2014. The role of targeted climate research at the IRI. Earth Perspectives, 1:18, doi:10.1186/2194-6434-1-18 pdf file

• Orlove, B. S., H. Lazrus, G. K. Hovelsrud and A. Giannini, 2014. Recognitions and responsibilities: on the origins and consequences of the uneven attention to climate change around the world. Current Anthropology, 55, 249-275, doi:10.1086/676298 pdf file

• Salack, S., A. Giannini, M. Diakhaté, A. T. Gaye and B. Muller, 2014. Oceanic influence on the sub-seasonal to interannual timing and frequency of extreme dry spells over the West African Sahel. Climate Dynamics, 42, 189-201, doi:10.1007/s00382-013-1673-4 pdf file

• Seth, A., S. A. Rauscher, M. Biasutti, A. Giannini, S. J. Camargo and M. Rojas, 2013. CMIP5 projected changes in the annual cycle of precipitation in monsoon regions. J. Climate, 26, 7328-7351, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00726.1 pdf file

• Lodoun, T., A. Giannini, P. S. Traoré, L. Somé, M. Sanon, M. Vaksmann and J. Millogo-Rasolodimby, 2013. Changes in the character of precipitation in Burkina Faso associated with late-20th century drought and recovery in the Sahel. Environmental Development, 5, 96-108, doi:10.1016/j.envdev.2012.11.010 pdf file

• Karnauskas, K. B., R. Seager, A. Giannini and A. J. Busalacchi, 2013. A simple mechanism for the climatological midsummer drought along the Pacific coast of Central America. Atmósfera, 26, 261-281, doi:10.1016/S0187-6236(13)71075-0 pdf file

• Giannini, A., 2013. Insight: a simple explanation for the complex climate variations in the Sahel. Environmental Research Web, published online 25 June 2013 http://environmentalresearchweb.org/cws/article/news/53848

• Giannini, A., Salack, S., T. Lodoun, A. Ali, A. T. Gaye and O. Ndiaye, 2013. A unifying view of climate change in the Sahel linking intra-seasonal, interannual and longer time scales. Environ. Res. Lett., 8, 024010, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/2/024010 pdf file

• Giannini, A., 2012. Letter to the editor of The New Yorker on Desert rains, 30 January 2012

• Seth, A., S. A. Rauscher, M. Rojas, A. Giannini and S. J. Camargo, 2011. Enhanced spring convective barrier for monsoons in a warmer world? A letter. Climatic Change, 104, 403-414, doi:10.1007/s10584-010-9973-8 pdf file

• Giannini, A., 2010. Mechanisms of climate change in the semi-arid African Sahel: the local view. J. Climate, 23, 743-756, doi: 10.1175/2009JCLI3123.1 pdf file

• Greene, A. M., A. Giannini and S. E. Zebiak, 2009. Drought return times in the Sahel: A question of attribution. Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L12701, doi:10.1029/2009GL038868 pdf file

• Giannini, A., M. Biasutti and M. M. Verstraete, 2008. A climate model-based review of drought in the Sahel: Desertification, the re-greening and climate change. Global Planetary Change, 64, 119-128, doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2008.05.004 pdf file

• Giannini, A., M. Biasutti, I. M. Held and A. H. Sobel, 2008. A global perspective on African climate. Climatic Change, 90, 359-383, doi:10.1007/s10584-008-9396-y pdf file

• Biasutti, M., I. M. Held, A. H. Sobel and A. Giannini, 2008. SST forcings and Sahel rainfall variability in simulations of the 20th and 21st centuries. J. Climate, 21, 3471-3486, doi:10.1175/2007JCLI1896.1 pdf file

• Giannini, A., A. W. Robertson, and J.-H. Qian, 2007. A role for tropical tropospheric temperature adjustment to ENSO in the seasonality of monsoonal Indonesia precipitation predictability. J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 112, D16110, doi:10.1029/2007JD008519 pdf file

• Ceccato, P., K. Cressman, A. Giannini and S. Trzaska, 2007. The desert locust upsurge in West Africa (2003-2005): Information on the desert locust early warning system and the prospects for seasonal climate forecasting. Int. J. Pest Management, 53, 7-13, doi: 10.1080/09670870600968826

• Tippett, M. K. and A. Giannini, 2006. Potentially predictable components of African summer rainfall in a SST-forced GCM simulation. J. Climate, 19, 3133-3144, doi: 10.1175/JCLI3779.1 pdf file

• Biasutti, M. and A. Giannini, 2006. Robust Sahel drying in response to late 20th century forcings. Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L11706, doi:10.1029/2006GL026067 pdf file

• Giannini, A., R. Saravanan and P. Chang, 2005. Dynamics of the boreal summer African monsoon in the NSIPP1 atmospheric model. Climate Dynamics, 25, 517-535 doi:10.1007/s00382-005-0056-x. Published online: 13 August 2005 pdf file

• Barreiro, M., P. Chang, L. Ji, R. Saravanan and A. Giannini, 2005. Dynamical elements of predicting boreal spring Tropical Atlantic sea-surface temperatures. Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans, 39, 61-85, doi:10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2004.10.013

• Seager, R., A. R. Karspeck, M. A. Cane, Y. Kushnir, A. Giannini, A. Kaplan, B. Kerman and J. Velez, 2004. Predicting Pacific Decadal variability. In Earth's climate. The ocean-atmosphere interaction, American Geophysical Union Geophysical Monograph, edited by C. Wang, S.-P. Xie and J. A. Carton, 147, 105-120.

• Barreiro, M., A. Giannini, P. Chang and R. Saravanan, 2004. On the role of the South Atlantic atmospheric circulation in Tropical Atlantic Variability. In Earth's climate. The ocean-atmosphere interaction, American Geophysical Union Geophysical Monograph, edited by C. Wang, S.-P. Xie and J. A. Carton, 147, 143-156

• Giannini, A., R. Saravanan and P. Chang, 2004. The preconditioning role of Tropical Atlantic Variability in the development of the ENSO teleconnection: implications for the prediction of Nordeste rainfall. Climate Dynamics, 22, 839-855, doi:10.1007/s00382-004-0420-2 pdf file

• Giannini, A., R. Saravanan and P. Chang, 2003. Oceanic forcing of Sahel rainfall on interannual to interdecadal timescales. Science, 302, 1027-1030. Published online 9 October 2003. 10.1126/science.1089357 pdf file. Read commentaries by Richard A. Kerr pdf file and Ning Zeng pdf file in Science.

• Chiang, J. C. H., Y. Kushnir and A. Giannini, 2002. Deconstructing Atlantic ITCZ variability: influence of the local cross-equatorial SST gradient, and remote forcing from the eastern equatorial Pacific. J. Geophys. Res. - Atmospheres, 107(D1), 4004, doi:10.1029/2000JD000307 pdf file

• Giannini, A., J. C. H. Chiang, M. A. Cane, Y. Kushnir and R. Seager, 2001. The ENSO teleconnection to the tropical Atlantic Ocean: contributions of the remote and local SSTs to rainfall variability in the tropical Americas. J. Climate, 14, 4530-4544, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2001)014<4530:TETTTT>2.0.CO;2 pdf file

• Giannini, A., M. A. Cane and Y. Kushnir, 2001. Interdecadal changes in the ENSO teleconnection to the Caribbean region and the North Atlantic Oscillation. J. Climate, 14, 2867-2879, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/1520- 0442(2001)014<2867:ICITET>2.0.CO;2 pdf file

• Giannini, A., Y. Kushnir and M. A. Cane, 2001. Seasonality in the impact of ENSO and the North Atlantic High on Caribbean rainfall. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth (B), 26(2), 143-147, http://dx.doi.org/ 10.1016/S1464-1909(00)00231-8 pdf file

• Giannini, A., Y. Kushnir and M. A. Cane, 2000. Interannual variability of Caribbean rainfall, ENSO and the Atlantic Ocean. J. Climate, 13, 297-311, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2000)013 <0297:IVOCRE>2.0.CO;2 pdf file

• Corti, S., A. Giannini, S. Tibaldi and F. Molteni, 1997. Patterns of low-frequency variability in a three-level quasi-geostrophic model. Climate Dynamics, 13, 883-904, doi:10.1007/s003820050203 pdf file