ECMWF Coupled General Circulation Model Dynamical Model
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)
Reading, UK
The ECMWF uses a fully coupled ocean-land-atmosphere system to produce monthly and seasonal predictions. A brief history and the full evolution of the ECMWF analysis and forecasting system is available here.
Documentation about the forecast system and its component models can be accessed here.
One can also browse a comprehensive scientific reference list about the ECMWF forecasting system.
Finally, the current ECMWF ENSO forecast is available.
Contact: webmaster@ecmwf.int
References:
Alves, O., M. Balmaseda, D. Anderson and T. Stockdale, 2004: Sensitivity of dynamical seasonal forecasts to ocean initial conditions. Quar. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 130, 2004, 647-668.
Van Oldenborgh, G. J., M. A. Balmaseda, L. Ferranti, T. N. Stockdale, and D. L. T. Anderson, 2005: Evaluation of atmospheric fields from the ECMWF seasonal forecasts over a 15-year period. J. Climate, 18, 3250-3269.
Vialard, J., F. Vitart, M. A. Balmaseda, T. N. Stockdale, and D. L. T. Anderson, 2005: An ensemble generation method for seasonal forecasting with an ocean-atmosphere coupled model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 133, 441-453.