Research interests:
My main focus these days is on the dynamics and predictability
of the global tropical sea surface temperature (SST), on seasonal
time scales.
The dominant variability of the ocean-atmosphere system on
seasonal-interannual time scales is the El-Nino Southern
Oscillation, still for many regions of the world the variability in
the Atlantic and Indian oceans is responsible for anomalous
weather conditions. It is therefore important to try and predict
the SST all over the world, especially during years where there is
no El-Nino around.
A better prediction of the global SST on seasonal time scales have
the potential to improve considerably the forecast of air
temperature and precipitation (climatological conditions) over the
globe; For example, see the forecast as being done at IRI every
month (IRI
seasonal forecast).