PUBLICATIONS

Feliks, Y., M. Ghil, and A. W. Robertson, 2009: Oscillatory climate modes in the Eastern Mediterranean: Synchronization with the NAO and Southern Oscillation. J. Climate, submitted. preprint

Moron, V., A. W. Robertson, 2009: Interannual variability of summer monsoon rainfall onset date across India. Geophys. Res. Lett., submitted Feb '09. preprint

Samuels, R., A. Robertson, A. Khalil, U. Lall, 2009: Downscaling Middle East Rainfall using a Support Vector Machine and Hidden Markov Model. Int. J. Climatology, submitted. preprint

Moron, V., A. W. Robertson and J.-H. Qian, 2010: Local versus large-scale characteristics of monsoon onset and post-onset rainfall over Indonesia. Climate Dynamics 34, 281-299. preprint

Robertson, A. W. , V. Moron, and Y. Swarinoto, 2009: Seasonal predictability of daily rainfall statistics over Indramayu district, Indonesia. Int. J. Climatology, 29, 1449-1462. preprint

Moron, V., A. Lucero, F. Hilario, B. Lyon, A. W. Robertson and D. DeWitt, 2009: Spatio-temporal variability and predictability of summer monsoon onset over the Philippines. Climate Dynamics, 33, 1159-1177. preprint

Huang, H.-P., A. W. Robertson, Y. Kushnir, and S. Peng, 2008: Hindcasts of tropical Atlantic SST gradient and South American precipitation: the influences of the ENSO forcing and the Atlantic preconditioning. J. Climate, in press. preprint

Camargo, S. J., A. W. Robertson, A. G. Barnston, and M. Ghil, 2008: Clustering of eastern North Pacific tropical cyclone tracks: ENSO and MJO effects. G-Cubed 9, Q06V05, doi:10.1029/2007GC001861. preprint

Richter, I., C. R. Mechoso, and A. W. Robertson, 2008: What Determines the Position and Intensity of the South Atlantic Anticyclone in Austral Winter? An AGCM Study. J. Climate, 21, 214-229. preprint

Moron, V., A. W. Robertson and R. Boer, 2009: Spatial coherence and seasonal predictability of mosoon onset over Indonesia. J. Climate 22, 840-850. preprint (revised version)

Giannini, A., A. W. Robertson, and J.-H. Qian, 2007: A role for tropical tropospheric temperature adjustment to El Nino-Southern Oscillation in the seasonality of monsoonal Indonesia precipitation predictability. J. Geophys. Res., 112, D16110, doi:10.1029/2007JD008519.

Greene, A. M., A. W. Robertson and S. Kirshner, 2008: Analysis of Indian monsoon daily rainfall on subseasonal to multidecadal time scales using a hidden Markov model. Quart. J. Royal Meteor. Soc., 134, 875-887. preprint

Moron, V., A. W. Robertson and M. N. Ward, 2008a: Weather Types and Rainfall over Senegal. Part I: Observational Analysis. J. Climate, 21, 266-287. preprint (revised version)

Moron, V., A. W. Robertson and M. N. Ward, 2008b: Weather types and rainfall in Senegal. Part II: Downscaling of GCM Simulations. J. Climate, 21, 288-307. preprint (revised version)

Moron, V., A. W. Robertson and M. N. Ward, 2007c: Spatial Coherence of tropical rainfall at Regional Scale. J. Climate, 20, 5244-5263. preprint

Trzaska, S., A. W. Robertson, J. D. Farrara, and C. R. Mechoso, 2007: South Atlantic Variability Arising from Air Sea Coupling: Local Mechanisms and Tropical Subtropical Interactions. J. Climate, 20, 3345-3365. abstract

Ihler, A. T., S. Kirshner, M. Ghil, A. W. Robertson, and P. Smyth, 2007: Graphical models for statistical inference and data assimilation. Physica D, 230(1-2), 72-87. preprint

Robertson, A. W., A. V. M. Ines and J. W. Hansen, 2007: Downscaling of seasonal precipitation for crop simulation. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 46 677-693. preprint

Camargo, S.J., A.W. Robertson, S.J. Gaffney, P. Smyth, and M. Ghil, 2007: Cluster Analysis of Typhoon Tracks. Part I: General Properties. J. Climate, 20, 3635-3653. preprint

Camargo, S.J., A.W. Robertson, S.J. Gaffney, P. Smyth, and M. Ghil, 2007: Cluster Analysis of Typhoon Tracks. Part II: Large-Scale Circulation and ENSO. J. Climate, 20, 3654-3676. preprint

Robinson, W. A., A. W. Robertson, and S. Lozier, 2005: Scientific Understanding of the Atlantic Basin Climate System: A Mid-CLIVAR Perspective. Unpublished.

Moron, V., A. W. Robertson and M. N. Ward, 2006: Seasonal predictability and spatial coherence of rainfall characteristics in the tropical setting of Senegal. Mon. Wea. Rev., 134, 3246-3260. preprint

Koo, S., A. W. Robertson, and M. Ghil, 2005: A Multiple-Regime Approach to Atmospheric Zonal-Flow Vacillation. Unpublished. preprint

Gaffney, S. J., A. W. Robertson, P. Smyth, S. J. Camargo and M. Ghil, 2007: Probabilistic Clustering of Extratropical Cyclones Using Regression Mixture Models. Climate Dynamics, 29, 423-440. preprint

Kondrashov, D., S. Kravtsov, A. W. Robertson and M. Ghil, 2005: A hierarchy of data-based ENSO models. J. Climate, 18, 4425-4444 . preprint

Huang, H.-P., A. W. Robertson and Y. Kushnir, 2005: Atlantic SST gradient and the influence of ENSO. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L20706, doi:10.1029/2005GL023944. abstract

Kravtsov, S., A. W. Robertson and M. Ghil, 2006: Multiple regimes and low-frequency oscillations in the Northern Hemisphere's zonal-mean flow. J. Atmos. Sci., 63, 840-860 preprint

Kushnir, Y., W. A. Robinson, P. Chang, and A. W. Robertson, 2006: The physical basis for predicting Atlantic sector seasonal-to-internnual climate variability. J. Climate, 19, 5949-5970.

Kravtsov, S., A. W. Robertson and M. Ghil, 2005: Bimodal Behavior in the Zonal Mean Flow of a Baroclinic Beta-Channel Model. J. Atmos. Sci., 62, 1746-1769 abstract

Robertson, A. W., S. Kirshner, P. Smyth, S. P. Charles, and B. C. Bates, 2006: Subseasonal-to-Interdecadal Variability of the Australian Monsoon Over North Queensland. Quart. J. Royal Meteor. Soc., 132, 519-542. preprint

Mechoso, C. R., A. W. Robertson, C. F. Ropelewski, A. M. Grimm, 2005: The American Monsoon Systems: An Introduction. C. -P. Chang, B. Wang and N. -C. G. Lau, Eds WMO/TD No. 1266 (TMRP Report No. 70), 197-206. preprint

Robertson, A. W., S. Kirshner, and P. Smyth, 2004: Downscaling of daily rainfall occurrence over Northeast Brazil using a Hidden Markov Model. J. Climate, 17, 4407-4424. preprint

Robertson, A. W., U. Lall, S. E. Zebiak, and L. Goddard, 2004: Optimal Combination of Multiple Atmospheric GCM Ensembles for Seasonal Prediction. Mon. Wea. Rev., , 132, 2732-2744. preprint

Kirshner, S., P. Smyth, and A. Robertson, 2004: Conditional Chow-Liu tree structures for modeling discrete-valued vector time series. Technical Report UCI-ICS 04-04, March 2004. (shorter version in Proceedings of the 20th International Conference on Uncertainty in AI , July 2004.) PDF

Lott, F., A. W. Robertson, and M. Ghil, 2004a: Mountain torques and Northern Hemisphere low-frequency variability. Part I: Hemispheric and oscillatory aspects. J. Atmos. Sci., 61, 1259-1271.

Lott, F., A. W. Robertson, and M. Ghil, 2004b: Mountain torques and Northern Hemisphere low-frequency variability. Part II: Regional and episodic aspects. J. Atmos. Sci., 61, 1272-1283.

Robertson, A. W., and C. R. Mechoso, 2003: Circulation Regimes and Low-Frequency Oscillations in the South Pacific Sector. Mon. Wea. Rev., 131, 1566-1576. preprint

Robertson, A. W., J. D. Farrara, and C. R. Mechoso, 2003: Simulations of the Atmospheric Response to South Atlantic Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies. J. Climate, 16, 2540-2551. preprint

Cazes, G., A. W. Robertson, and C. R. Mechoso, 2003: Seasonal Dependence of Teleconnections Over South America. J. Climate, 16, 1159-1176. preprint

Czaja, A., A. W. Robertson, and T. Huck, 2003: The role of coupled processes in producing NAO variability. Geophysical Monongraphs, 134, 147-172.

Kravtsov, S., Robertson, A. W., and M. Ghil, 2003: Low-Frequency Variability in a Baroclinic Beta Channel with Land-Sea Contrast. J. Atmos. Sci., 60, 2267-2293.

Ghil, M., and A. W. Robertson, 2002: "Waves" vs. "particles" in the atmosphere's phase space: A pathway to long-range forecasting?, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 99 (Suppl. 1), 2493-2500. preprint

Ghil M., R. M. Allen, M. D. Dettinger, K. Ide, D. Kondrashov, M. E. Mann, A. Robertson, A. Saunders, Y. Tian, F. Varadi, and P. Yiou, 2002: Advanced spectral methods for climatic time series, Rev. Geophys., 40(1), 1003, doi:10.1029/2000RG000092. preprint

Koo, S., A. W. Robertson, and M. Ghil, 2002: Multiple regimes and low-frequency oscillations in the Southern Hemisphere's zonal-mean flow. J. Geophys. Res. 10.1029/2001JD001353. preprint

Kravtsov, S., and A. W. Robertson, 2002: Midlatitude ocean-atmosphere interaction in an idealized coupled model. Climate Dynamics, 19, 693-711. preprint

Robertson, A. W., C. R. Mechoso, and N. O. Garcia, 2001: Interannual prediction of the Parana river. Geophys. Res. Lett., 28, 4235-4238. preprint

Robertson, A. W., 2001: On the influence of ocean-atmosphere interaction on the Arctic Oscillation in two general circulation models. J. Climate, 14, 3240-3254. Text (gzipped postscript file) Figs (gzipped postscript tar archive)

Lott, F., A. W. Robertson, and M. Ghil, 2000: Mountain torques and intraseasonal atmospheric oscillations. Geophys. Res. Lett., 28, 1207-1210. gzipped postscript file

Farrara, J. D., C. R. Mechoso, and A. W. Robertson, 2000: Ensembles of AGCM two-tier predictions and simulations of the circulation anomalies during winter 1997-98. Mon. Wea. Rev., 128, 3589-3604. pdf file (original unrevised version)

Robertson, A. W., and C. R. Mechoso, 2000: Interannual and interdecadal variability of the South Atlantic Convergence Zone. Mon. Wea. Rev., 128, 2947-2957. pdf file

Ghil, M., and A.W. Robertson, 2000: Solving problems with GCMs: General Circulation Models and their role in the climate modeling hierarchy. In General Circulation Model Development: Past, Present, and Future (Arakawa Festschrift), D. Randall (Ed.), Academic Press, pp. 285-325. pdf file

Robertson, A. W., C. R. Mechoso, and Y.-J. Kim, 2000: The influence of Atlantic Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies on the North Atlantic Oscillation. J. Climate, 13, 122-138. pdf file

Robertson, A. W., M. Ghil, and M. Latif, 2000: Interdecadal Changes in Atmospheric Low-Frequency Variability With and Without Boundary Forcing. J. Atmos. Sci., 57, 1132-1140. pdf file

Robertson, A. W., and M. Ghil, 1999: Large-Scale Weather Regimes and Local Climate Over the Western United States. J. Climate, 12, 1796-1813. pdf file

Robertson, A. W., and C. R. Mechoso, 1998: Interannual and Decadal Cycles in River Flows of Southeastern South America. J. Climate, 11, 2570-2581. Abstract / Text (gzipped postscript) / Figs (gzipped postscript tar archive)

Allen, M.R., and A.W. Robertson, 1996: Distinguishing modulated oscillations from coloured noise in multivariate datasets. Climate Dynamics, 12, 775-784. Abstract+Figs / Article.pdf

Ma, C.-C., C.R. Mechoso, A.W. Robertson, and A. Arakawa, 1996: Peruvian stratus clouds and the tropical Pacific circulation: a coupled ocean-atmosphere GCM study. J. Climate, 9, 1635-1645.

Robertson, A.W., and C. R. Mechoso, 1996: An Intercomparison of the Surface Fluxes over the Tropical Pacific in 9 Coupled GCMs. Report of talk given at CGSG/DICE workshop in Paris 24-27 June 1996. (unpublished) Abstract+Figs

Robertson, A.W., 1996: Interdecadal variability in a multicentury climate integration. Climate Dynamics, 12, 227-241. Abstract / Article.pdf

Robertson, A.W., M.R. Allen, M. Ghil, and L.A. Smith 1995: Tests for distinguishing multivariate oscillatory behavior from AR(1) noise. In Pro19 of the 20th Climate Diagnostics Workshop, Climate Analysis Center, NOAA. Abstract

Mechoso, C.R., A.W. Robertson, and Co-authors 1995: The seasonal cycle over the tropical Pacific in general circulation models. Mon. Wea. Rev., 123, 2825-2838. Abstract+Figs / Text.ps / Figs.ps / ColorFigs.ps

Robertson, A.W., C.-C. Ma, M. Ghil, and C.R. Mechoso, 1995: Simulation of the tropical Pacific climate with a coupled ocean-atmosphere general circulation model. Part II: Interannual variability. J. Climate, 8, 1199-1216. Abstract

Robertson, A.W., C.-C. Ma, C.R. Mechoso and M. Ghil, 1995: Simulation of the tropical Pacific climate with a coupled ocean-atmosphere general circulation model. Part I: The seasonal cycle. J. Climate, 8, 1178-1198. Abstract

Robertson, A.W., C.-C. Ma, C.R. Mechoso 1993: The seasonal cycle in surface heat fluxes over the tropical Pacific in a coupled GCM. In Proceedings of the 18th Climate Diagnostics Workshop, Climate Analysis Center, NOAA, 1994. Abstract

Robertson, A.W., C.-C. Ma, C.R. Mechoso and M. Ghil, 1992: Simulations of the tropical-Pacific climate with the UCLA coupled GCM. In Proceedings of the 17th Climate Diagnostics Workshop, Climate Analysis Center, NOAA, 1992.

Robertson, A.W., 1993: An examination of simulated regional climate change using the adjoint method. Climate Dyn.amics 43-51.

Robertson, A.W., 1992c: The investigation of regional climate anomalies with a linear barotropic model and an adjoint technique. Quart. J. Royal Meteor. Soc., 118, 1187-1209.

Robertson, A.W., 1992b: Diagnosis of regional monthly anomalies using the adjoint method. Part II: Potential Vorticity. J. Atmos. Sci., 49, 906-918.

Robertson, A.W., 1992a: Diagnosis of regional monthly anomalies using the adjoint method. Part I: Temperature. J. Atmos. Sci., 49, 885-905.

Robertson, A.W., and W. Metz, 1990b: An investigation of the storm-track eddies in a low-resolution climate model using linear theory. Beitr. Phys. Atmos., 63, 177- 188.

Robertson, A.W., and W. Metz,1990a: Transient-eddy feedbacks derived from linear theory and observations. J. Atmos. Sci., 47, 2743-2764.

Robertson, A.W., and C. Frankignoul, 1990: The tropical circulation: Simple model versus general circulation model. Quart. J. Royal Meteor. Soc., 116, 69-87.

Robertson, A.W., and W. Metz, 1989: Three-dimensional linear instability of persistent anomalous large-scale flows. J. Atmos. Sci., 46, 2783-2801.

Hoskins, B.J., M.E. McIntyre, and A.W. Robertson, 1985: On the use and significance of isentropic potential vorticity maps. Quart. J. Royal Meteor. Soc., 111, 877-946.

Robertson, A.W., 1984: Ertel potential vorticity as a tropospheric variable. Ph. D. Thesis, University of Reading, U.K., 178pp.