Sep2004 IRI North America Real-Time Multi-model Ensemble Precipitation Predictions



SST Forcing Atmospheric Response
0.5-month Lead:
persisted SST
[IRI]

[IRI]








0.5-month Lead:
persisted plus forecast SST
A combination of persisted and forecast SST ->

[IRI]








0.5-month Lead:OND2004
forecast SST
[IRI]

[IRI]








1.5-month Lead:NDJ2005
forecast SST
[IRI]

[IRI]








2.5-month Lead:DJF2005
forecast SST
[IRI]

[IRI]








3.5-month Lead:JFM2005
forecast SST
[IRI]

[IRI]