I R I

International Research Institute for Climate Prediction

omnia mutantur nos et mutamur, in illis

WARNING: These forecasts are experimental. They are intended for scientific purposes only.

Extreme Temperature Probabilities (corrected) - Seasonal Forecasts - 2004-2005
	Africa	Asia	Australia	Europe	North America	Pacific	South America
M-J-J from May04	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)
J-J-A from May04	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)
J-A-S from May04	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)
A-S-O from May04	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)
S-O-N from May04	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)
A-M-J from Apr04	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)
M-J-J from Apr04	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)
J-J-A from Apr04	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)
J-A-S from Apr04	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)
A-S-O from Apr04	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)
M-A-M from Mar04	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)
A-M-J from Mar04	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)
M-J-J from Mar04	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)
J-J-A from Mar04	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)
J-A-S from Mar04	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)
F-M-A from Feb04	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)
M-A-M from Feb04	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)
A-M-J from Feb04	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)
M-J-J from Feb04	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)
J-J-A from Feb04	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)
J-F-M from Jan04	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)
F-M-A from Jan04	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(psst) ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(psst) ECPC(asst)
M-A-M from Jan04	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)
A-M-J from Jan04	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)
M-J-J from Jan04	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)	ECM4(asst) NCEP(asst) NSIPP(asst) COLA(asst) ECPC(asst)
	Africa	Asia	Australia	Europe	North America	Pacific	South America

International Research Institute for climate prediction
The Earth Institute at Columbia University
Monell Building
PO Box 1000 / 61 Route 9W
Palisades, NY 10964-8000
fax: (845) 680-4865
email: goddard@iri.columbia.edu