Numerical Climate Prediction (NCP) Tools

Individual AGCM Predictions

These forecasts are experimental and intended for scientific purposes only. Dynamical climate forecast maps and their associated probabilistic uncertainty maps are provided for the next 3 months and longer lead times. Forecasts are made with several climate models, each of which uses one or more of the possible SST forecasts as lower boundary condition forcing. For individual AGCM predictions, click on the appropriate green bar label for temperature, precipitation or 500mb height maps.

 
2013 Seasonal Forecasts
Temperature Precipitation 500mb Height
Temperature (Probabilistic) Precipitation (Probabilistic)
 
2012 Seasonal Forecasts
Temperature Precipitation 500mb Height
Temperature (Probabilistic) Precipitation (Probabilistic)
 
2011 Seasonal Forecasts
Temperature Precipitation 500mb Height
Temperature (Probabilistic) Precipitation (Probabilistic)
 
2010 Seasonal Forecasts
Temperature Precipitation 500mb Height
Temperature (Probabilistic) Precipitation (Probabilistic)
 
2009 Seasonal Forecasts
Temperature Precipitation 500mb Height
Temperature (Probabilistic) Precipitation (Probabilistic)
 
2008 Seasonal Forecasts
Temperature Precipitation 500mb Height
Temperature (Probabilistic) Precipitation (Probabilistic)
 2007 Seasonal Forecasts
Temperature Precipitation 500mb Height
Temperature (Probabilistic) Precipitation (Probabilistic)
 2006 Seasonal Forecasts
Temperature Precipitation 500mb Height
Temperature (Probabilistic) Precipitation (Probabilistic)
 2005 Seasonal Forecasts
Temperature Precipitation 500mb Height
Temperature (Probabilistic) Precipitation (Probabilistic)
 2004 Seasonal Forecasts
Temperature Precipitation 500mb Height
Temperature (Probabilistic) Precipitation (Probabilistic)
Tercile Temperature Probabilities (uncorrected) Tercile Precipitation Probabilities (uncorrected)
Tercile Temperature Probabilities (corrected) Tercile Precipitation Probabilities (corrected)
Extreme Temperature Probabilities (uncorrected) Extreme Precipitation Probabilities (uncorrected)
Extreme Temperature Probabilities (corrected) Extreme Precipitation Probabilities (corrected)
 2004 Experimental Regional Tropical Cyclone Prediction
North Atlantic Eastern North Pacific Australia South Pacific
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 2003 Seasonal Forecasts
Temperature Precipitation 500mb Height
Temperature (Probabilistic) Precipitation (Probabilistic)
Tercile Temperature Probabilities (uncorrected) Tercile Precipitation Probabilities (uncorrected)
Tercile Temperature Probabilities (corrected) Tercile Precipitation Probabilities (corrected)
Extreme Temperature Probabilities (uncorrected) Extreme Precipitation Probabilities (uncorrected)
Extreme Temperature Probabilities (corrected) Extreme Precipitation Probabilities (corrected)
 2003 Experimental Regional Tropical Cyclone Prediction
North Atlantic Australia South Pacific
 2002 Seasonal Forecasts
Temperature Precipitation 500mb Height
Temperature (Probabilistic) Precipitation (Probabilistic)
Tercile Temperature Probabilities (uncorrected) Tercile Precipitation Probabilities (uncorrected)
Tercile Temperature Probabilities (corrected) Tercile Precipitation Probabilities (corrected)
Extreme Temperature Probabilities (uncorrected) Extreme Precipitation Probabilities (uncorrected)
Extreme Temperature Probabilities (corrected) Extreme Precipitation Probabilities (corrected)
 2001 Seasonal Forecasts
Temperature Precipitation 500mb Height
Temperature (Probabilistic) Precipitation (Probabilistic)
Tercile Temperature Probabilities (uncorrected) Tercile Precipitation Probabilities (uncorrected)
Tercile Temperature Probabilities (corrected) Tercile Precipitation Probabilities (corrected)
Extreme Temperature Probabilities (uncorrected) Extreme Precipitation Probabilities (uncorrected)
Extreme Temperature Probabilities (corrected) Extreme Precipitation Probabilities (corrected)
 2000 3-Month Advance Seasonal Forecasts
Temperature Precipitation 500mb Height
Temperature (Probabilistic) Precipitation (Probabilistic)
 2000 Long Lead Seasonal Forecasts
Temperature Precipitation 500mb Height
Temperature (Probabilistic) Precipitation (Probabilistic)
 1999 - 3 Month Advance Seasonal Forecasts
Temperature Precipitation 500mb Height
Temperature (Probabilistic) Precipitation (Probabilistic)
 1999 Long Lead Seasonal Forecasts
Temperature Precipitation 500mb Height
Temperature (Probabilistic) Precipitation (Probabilistic)
 1998 - 3 Month Advance Seasonal Forecasts
Temperature Precipitation 500mb Height
Temperature (Probabilistic) Precipitation (Probabilistic)
 1998 Long Lead Seasonal Forecasts
Temperature Precipitation 500mb Height
Temperature (Probabilistic) Precipitation (Probabilistic)
 1997 - 3 Month Advance Seasonal Forecasts
Temperature Precipitation 500mb Height
Temperature (Probabilistic) Precipitation (Probabilistic)
 1997 Long Lead Seasonal Forecasts
Temperature Precipitation 500mb Height
Temperature (Probabilistic) Precipitation (Probabilistic)